Nimbus Health: Is the Growth Worth What It Costs?

Marketing
medium35 min0 submissions
Flipkart
Scenario

Nimbus Health sells digital health subscriptions in US. Growth has been strong and the board has asked whether it is profitable growth.

Marketing spends $101 M a month and acquires about 2,279 new customers in that time. Average revenue per user is $1436 a month at a 78% gross margin. Monthly logo churn runs at 5.3%.

Roughly 58% of new customers come through paid channels; the rest arrive organically but are counted in the same blended figure. The CMO reports a healthy LTV/CAC and wants to double the budget.

Supporting data

spend

new customers per month
2279
monthly marketing spend m
101
paid share of new customers pct
58

economics

arpu monthly
1436
gross margin pct
78
monthly churn pct
5.3

derived hints

blended cac
44318
payback months
39.6
ltv gross margin basis
21170
implied lifetime months
18.9
Your task

Advise the board. Your answer should provide:

  1. Analysis — CAC, LTV on a margin basis, the ratio, and payback in months. Show the working.
  2. Risks — what the blended number is hiding.
  3. Recommendation — scale, hold or cut, and where.

State any assumptions you make.

Ready to move forward? Up next: Driftwood Hotels: Every Channel Claims the Same SaleNext question
How you'll be graded

80 points, 60% to pass.

  • recommendation20
  • market analysis20
  • risk assessment15
  • financial analysis25
Hint
Reveal suggested structure

CAC = spend / customers acquired. LTV = ARPU x gross margin x 1/churn. Judge on payback period and on unblended channel economics.