Pallas Pharma: Is the Growth Worth What It Costs?

Marketing
medium35 min0 submissions
Bain
Scenario

Pallas Pharma sells specialty pharma subscriptions in US. Growth has been strong and the board has asked whether it is profitable growth.

Marketing spends $23 M a month and acquires about 3,312 new customers in that time. Average revenue per user is $376 a month at a 75% gross margin. Monthly logo churn runs at 7.3%.

Roughly 78% of new customers come through paid channels; the rest arrive organically but are counted in the same blended figure. The CMO reports a healthy LTV/CAC and wants to double the budget.

Supporting data

spend

new customers per month
3312
monthly marketing spend m
23
paid share of new customers pct
78

economics

arpu monthly
376
gross margin pct
75
monthly churn pct
7.3

derived hints

blended cac
6944
payback months
24.6
ltv gross margin basis
3863
implied lifetime months
13.7
Your task

Advise the board. Your answer should provide:

  1. Analysis — CAC, LTV on a margin basis, the ratio, and payback in months. Show the working.
  2. Risks — what the blended number is hiding.
  3. Recommendation — scale, hold or cut, and where.

State any assumptions you make.

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How you'll be graded

80 points, 60% to pass.

  • recommendation20
  • market analysis20
  • risk assessment15
  • financial analysis25
Hint
Reveal suggested structure

CAC = spend / customers acquired. LTV = ARPU x gross margin x 1/churn. Judge on payback period and on unblended channel economics.