Quantile Capital: Is the Growth Worth What It Costs?

Marketing
medium35 min0 submissions
BCG
Scenario

Quantile Capital sells asset management subscriptions in UK. Growth has been strong and the board has asked whether it is profitable growth.

Marketing spends £100 M a month and acquires about 3,447 new customers in that time. Average revenue per user is £2496 a month at a 57% gross margin. Monthly logo churn runs at 5%.

Roughly 50% of new customers come through paid channels; the rest arrive organically but are counted in the same blended figure. The CMO reports a healthy LTV/CAC and wants to double the budget.

Supporting data

spend

new customers per month
3447
monthly marketing spend m
100
paid share of new customers pct
50

economics

arpu monthly
2496
gross margin pct
57
monthly churn pct
5

derived hints

blended cac
29011
payback months
20.4
ltv gross margin basis
28454
implied lifetime months
20
Your task

Advise the board. Your answer should provide:

  1. Analysis — CAC, LTV on a margin basis, the ratio, and payback in months. Show the working.
  2. Risks — what the blended number is hiding.
  3. Recommendation — scale, hold or cut, and where.

State any assumptions you make.

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How you'll be graded

80 points, 60% to pass.

  • recommendation20
  • market analysis20
  • risk assessment15
  • financial analysis25
Hint
Reveal suggested structure

CAC = spend / customers acquired. LTV = ARPU x gross margin x 1/churn. Judge on payback period and on unblended channel economics.