Saffron Retail: Raise Capital or Extend Runway?

Finance
easy45 min0 submissions
BCG
Scenario

Saffron Retail is a apparel retail business operating in India. It closed last financial year at ₹61 Cr of annual recurring revenue, growing 42% year on year.

The company burns ₹30 Cr per year on a net basis and holds ₹25 Cr of cash. Gross margin is 76%, and net revenue retention sits at 104%.

The board has been approached by a growth fund offering ₹84 Cr at a ₹504 Cr pre-money valuation. The CEO is torn: the round would fund an aggressive push into two adjacent markets, but the founders would take meaningful dilution, and one board member argues the company could reach breakeven on its existing cash instead.

The CFO wants a clear recommendation before the next board meeting.

Supporting data

financials

arr cr
61
cash cr
25
growth pct
42
gross margin pct
76
net burn cr per year
30
net revenue retention pct
104

derived hints

net new arr
26
burn multiple
1.15
runway months
10

proposed round

amount cr
84
pre money cr
504
implied dilution pct
14.3
Your task

Advise the board. Your answer should provide:

  1. Analysis — the financial position, computed rather than described. Show your working.
  2. Risks — what could go wrong on each path, and what you would monitor.
  3. Recommendation — a specific course of action, with the amount and terms you would accept or reject.

State any assumptions you make.

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How you'll be graded

80 points, 60% to pass.

  • recommendation20
  • market analysis20
  • risk assessment20
  • financial analysis20
Hint
Reveal suggested structure

A strong answer works through, in order:

  1. Runway — cash ÷ monthly net burn. Here that is ₹25 Cr ÷ 2.5 = 10.0 months.
  2. Efficiency — burn multiple = net burn ÷ net new ARR = 30 ÷ 26 = 1.15. Below 1.5 is good; above 2 is expensive growth.
  3. Rule of 40 — growth % + margin %. Compare against the sector.
  4. Dilution — round ÷ post-money.
  5. Counterfactual — what breakeven requires: how much growth must be sacrificed, and is that a worse outcome than dilution?
  6. Decision — commit, with trigger conditions.