Ferro Industries Has More Cash Than Ideas

Finance
medium40 min0 submissions
BCG
Scenario

Ferro Industries is a mature industrial components business in Europe. It holds €527 M of net cash and generates a further €224 M a year from operations after maintenance capex.

Return on invested capital in the core business runs at 15.4% against a cost of capital of about 11.5%. The growth team has a pipeline of expansion projects worth €258 M, but the CFO privately rates only half of them as clearing the hurdle.

The shares trade at 22x earnings. The largest institutional shareholder has written to the board asking for "a coherent capital return policy". The company has never paid a dividend.

Supporting data

market

dividend history
none
price earnings ratio
22

returns

roic pct
15.4
wacc pct
11.5
spread pct
3.9

position

net cash m
527
identified growth capex m
258
annual operating cash flow m
224
Your task

Advise the board. Your answer should provide:

  1. Analysis — what each use of the cash is worth: reinvest, dividend, buyback, or hold.
  2. Risks — what each choice commits you to, and what it signals.
  3. Recommendation — an allocation with amounts, and the trigger that would change it.

State any assumptions you make.

Ready to move forward? Up next: Basil & Co: What Should This Project Have to Beat?Next question
How you'll be graded

80 points, 60% to pass.

  • recommendation20
  • market analysis20
  • risk assessment20
  • financial analysis20
Hint
Reveal suggested structure

Reinvest while incremental returns exceed WACC; return the rest. Choose the return mechanism on flexibility and valuation, not on preference.