Pinecrest Grocers: Where Should the Acquisition Budget Go?

Marketing
medium40 min0 submissions
Goldman Sachs
Scenario

Pinecrest Grocers is a mature-stage grocery business in US. The CMO has $129 M of annual acquisition budget and has been asked to justify next year's plan.

Last year's spend and results:

ChannelSpendNew customersCost per acquisition
Paid search — non-brand$62 M2,856$21709
Paid search — brand$12 M3,290$3647
Paid social$38 M978$38855
Affiliates & retargeting$17 M1,831$9285

Unit economics:

  • Average revenue per user: $1146 per month
  • Gross margin: 66%
  • Monthly churn: 4%

The board has asked for a 33% increase in new customers next year without an increase in budget. The CMO's instinct is to move money into brand search, which shows by far the lowest cost per acquisition.

Supporting data

channels

spendchannelnew customers
62Paid search — non-brand2856
12Paid search — brand3290
38Paid social978
17Affiliates & retargeting1831

derived hints

ltv
18909
blended cac
14405
customer lifetime months
25

unit economics

arpu monthly
1146
gross margin pct
66
monthly churn pct
4
Your task

Recommend an allocation. Your answer should provide:

  1. Analysis — the unit economics and each channel's true efficiency, computed rather than described.
  2. Risks — what your reallocation depends on, and what would change your mind.
  3. Recommendation — a specific budget shift, and how you would prove it works before committing fully.

State any assumptions you make.

Ready to move forward? Up next: Kirana Connect: Where Should the Acquisition Budget Go?Next question
How you'll be graded

100 points, 60% to pass.

  • recommendation20
  • channel judgement25
  • problem structuring25
  • quantitative analysis30
Hint
Reveal suggested structure

LTV and payback; per-channel CAC; incrementality of brand and retargeting; test-and-scale allocation