Nimbus Health Acquires a Rival: Accretive or Not?

Finance
medium55 min0 submissions
Razorpay
Scenario

Nimbus Health (digital health, US) is considering acquiring a smaller competitor.

Acquirer. Net income of $151 M, 80 million shares outstanding, trading at $116 per share. Current EPS is therefore $1.89.

Target. Net income of $65 M, currently valued by the market at $568 M. The board expects to pay a 34% premium to that price.

Management projects $47 M of annual run-rate synergies, roughly 61% of which are cost synergies from overlapping sales and back-office functions, with the remainder from cross-selling. One-time integration costs are estimated at $46 M.

The deal would be financed with debt at 9.4%. The marginal tax rate is 25%.

Supporting data

deal

tax rate pct
25
debt rate pct
9.4
integration cost m
46
run rate synergies m
47

target

premium pct
34
net income m
65
market value m
568

acquirer

eps
1.89
share price
116
net income m
151
shares outstanding
80
Your task

Advise the board on whether to proceed. Provide:

  1. Analysis — accretion/dilution to EPS in year one and at full synergy run-rate.
  2. Risks — what would make this deal destroy value.
  3. Recommendation — proceed, renegotiate, or walk. Specify price and structure.
Ready to move forward? Up next: Halcyon Bank: Can We Raise Prices 16%?Next question
How you'll be graded

100 points, 60% to pass.

  • deal analysis25
  • recommendation25
  • risk assessment25
  • synergy assessment25
Hint
Reveal suggested structure
  1. Purchase price = market value × (1 + premium).
  2. Financing cost = purchase price × debt rate, then after tax.
  3. Combined earnings = acquirer + target + after-tax synergies − after-tax interest.
  4. Combined EPS = combined earnings ÷ share count (unchanged in an all-cash deal).
  5. Compare against standalone EPS. Do this for year 1 (partial synergies, integration costs) and steady state.
  6. Sanity check the price against the target's standalone value.