Solstice Travel Acquires a Rival: Accretive or Not?

Finance
medium55 min0 submissions
Flipkart
Scenario

Solstice Travel (online travel, Southeast Asia) is considering acquiring a smaller competitor.

Acquirer. Net income of $137 M, 112 million shares outstanding, trading at $58 per share. Current EPS is therefore $1.22.

Target. Net income of $58 M, currently valued by the market at $567 M. The board expects to pay a 36% premium to that price.

Management projects $56 M of annual run-rate synergies, roughly 65% of which are cost synergies from overlapping sales and back-office functions, with the remainder from cross-selling. One-time integration costs are estimated at $48 M.

The deal would be financed with debt at 6.8%. The marginal tax rate is 25%.

Supporting data

deal

tax rate pct
25
debt rate pct
6.8
integration cost m
48
run rate synergies m
56

target

premium pct
36
net income m
58
market value m
567

acquirer

eps
1.22
share price
58
net income m
137
shares outstanding
112
Your task

Advise the board on whether to proceed. Provide:

  1. Analysis — accretion/dilution to EPS in year one and at full synergy run-rate.
  2. Risks — what would make this deal destroy value.
  3. Recommendation — proceed, renegotiate, or walk. Specify price and structure.
Ready to move forward? Up next: Halcyon Bank: Can We Raise Prices 16%?Next question
How you'll be graded

100 points, 60% to pass.

  • deal analysis25
  • recommendation25
  • risk assessment25
  • synergy assessment25
Hint
Reveal suggested structure
  1. Purchase price = market value × (1 + premium).
  2. Financing cost = purchase price × debt rate, then after tax.
  3. Combined earnings = acquirer + target + after-tax synergies − after-tax interest.
  4. Combined EPS = combined earnings ÷ share count (unchanged in an all-cash deal).
  5. Compare against standalone EPS. Do this for year 1 (partial synergies, integration costs) and steady state.
  6. Sanity check the price against the target's standalone value.