Vantage Analytics Acquires a Rival: Accretive or Not?
Finance
medium55 min0 submissionsBain
Scenario
Vantage Analytics (B2B SaaS, India) is considering acquiring a smaller competitor.
Acquirer. Net income of ₹172 Cr, 103 crore shares outstanding, trading at ₹94 per share. Current EPS is therefore ₹1.67.
Target. Net income of ₹34 Cr, currently valued by the market at ₹1011 Cr. The board expects to pay a 22% premium to that price.
Management projects ₹29 Cr of annual run-rate synergies, roughly 56% of which are cost synergies from overlapping sales and back-office functions, with the remainder from cross-selling. One-time integration costs are estimated at ₹69 Cr.
The deal would be financed with debt at 9.7%. The marginal tax rate is 25%.
Supporting data
deal
- tax rate pct
- 25
- debt rate pct
- 9.7
- integration cost cr
- 69
- run rate synergies cr
- 29
target
- premium pct
- 22
- net income cr
- 34
- market value cr
- 1011
acquirer
- eps
- 1.67
- share price
- 94
- net income cr
- 172
- shares outstanding
- 103
Your task
Advise the board on whether to proceed. Provide:
- Analysis — accretion/dilution to EPS in year one and at full synergy run-rate.
- Risks — what would make this deal destroy value.
- Recommendation — proceed, renegotiate, or walk. Specify price and structure.
Ready to move forward? Up next: Halcyon Bank: Can We Raise Prices 16%?Next question
How you'll be graded
100 points, 60% to pass.
- deal analysis25
- recommendation25
- risk assessment25
- synergy assessment25
Hint
Reveal suggested structure
- Purchase price = market value × (1 + premium).
- Financing cost = purchase price × debt rate, then after tax.
- Combined earnings = acquirer + target + after-tax synergies − after-tax interest.
- Combined EPS = combined earnings ÷ share count (unchanged in an all-cash deal).
- Compare against standalone EPS. Do this for year 1 (partial synergies, integration costs) and steady state.
- Sanity check the price against the target's standalone value.