Amber Grid: Build the Line or Keep Buying?

Operations
easy40 min0 submissions
Razorpay
Scenario

Amber Grid is a mature-stage utilities business in Europe. It currently buys a key component from a third-party supplier and is considering manufacturing it in-house.

Current position:

  • Annual volume: 252k units
  • Supplier price: €438 per unit, delivered

The in-house proposal:

  • Capital cost: €35 M, useful life 8 years
  • Variable cost in-house: €320 per unit
  • Additional fixed operating cost: €15 M per year

Complications:

  • Demand for the end product could move ±42% over the next three years
  • The supplier has offered a price reduction if a three-year commitment is signed
  • In-house production would take about 14 months to reach full yield

The COO is convinced building is obviously cheaper because the unit cost is lower.

Supporting data

current

annual volume k
252
supplier price per unit
438

in house

capex
35
ramp months
14
asset life years
8
annual fixed opex
15
variable cost per unit
320

uncertainty

demand swing pct
42

derived hints

breakeven volume k
164
annualised fixed cost
19.4
contribution per unit
118
Your task

Advise the COO. Your answer should provide:

  1. Analysis — the economics of both options, computed, including the volume at which they break even.
  2. Risks — what makes the in-house case fail, and what you would monitor.
  3. Recommendation — a specific decision, and the volume threshold that would reverse it.

State any assumptions you make.

Ready to move forward? Up next: Corveta Motors: Build the Line or Keep Buying?Next question
How you'll be graded

100 points, 60% to pass.

  • recommendation20
  • risk assessment25
  • problem structuring25
  • quantitative analysis30
Hint
Reveal suggested structure

Fixed vs variable split; breakeven volume; demand risk against irreversible capex; option value of the supplier deal