Granite Materials: Build the Line or Keep Buying?

Operations
medium40 min0 submissions
BCG
Scenario

Granite Materials is a mature-stage building materials business in India. It currently buys a key component from a third-party supplier and is considering manufacturing it in-house.

Current position:

  • Annual volume: 131k units
  • Supplier price: ₹221 per unit, delivered

The in-house proposal:

  • Capital cost: ₹112 Cr, useful life 7 years
  • Variable cost in-house: ₹139 per unit
  • Additional fixed operating cost: ₹18 Cr per year

Complications:

  • Demand for the end product could move ±26% over the next three years
  • The supplier has offered a price reduction if a three-year commitment is signed
  • In-house production would take about 14 months to reach full yield

The COO is convinced building is obviously cheaper because the unit cost is lower.

Supporting data

current

annual volume k
131
supplier price per unit
221

in house

capex
112
ramp months
14
asset life years
7
annual fixed opex
18
variable cost per unit
139

uncertainty

demand swing pct
26

derived hints

breakeven volume k
4146
annualised fixed cost
34
contribution per unit
82
Your task

Advise the COO. Your answer should provide:

  1. Analysis — the economics of both options, computed, including the volume at which they break even.
  2. Risks — what makes the in-house case fail, and what you would monitor.
  3. Recommendation — a specific decision, and the volume threshold that would reverse it.

State any assumptions you make.

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How you'll be graded

100 points, 60% to pass.

  • recommendation20
  • risk assessment25
  • problem structuring25
  • quantitative analysis30
Hint
Reveal suggested structure

Fixed vs variable split; breakeven volume; demand risk against irreversible capex; option value of the supplier deal