Northwind Energy: How Many Distribution Centres?

Operations
medium50 min0 submissions
McKinsey
Scenario

Northwind Energy is a renewables business in Europe shipping about 5m orders a year on €958 M of revenue.

It runs 2 distribution centres today. The supply chain team has proposed moving to 5.

Current economics per order:

  • Line-haul: €48
  • Last-mile: €78
  • Average delivery time: 5 days

Under the proposed network:

  • Each additional DC costs €11 M a year to run
  • Last-mile falls to about €51 per order, because stock sits closer to customers
  • Average delivery time falls to 4 days
  • Marketing estimates faster delivery is worth roughly 3.3% of revenue in additional sales

The CFO is resisting on the grounds that fixed costs go up.

Supporting data

volume

revenue
958
orders m per year
5

derived hints

added fixed cost
33
revenue lift value
31.6
last mile annual saving
135

current network

avg delivery days
5
last mile per order
78
line haul per order
48
distribution centres
2

proposed network

avg delivery days
4
dc fixed cost each
11
last mile per order
51
distribution centres
5
estimated revenue lift pct
3.3
Your task

Advise on the network. Your answer should provide:

  1. Analysis — total cost-to-serve under both networks, computed.
  2. Risks — what the case depends on and what you would monitor.
  3. Recommendation — a specific number of DCs and why.

State any assumptions you make.

Ready to move forward? Up next: Basil & Co: Build the Line or Keep Buying?Next question
How you'll be graded

100 points, 60% to pass.

  • recommendation20
  • service tradeoff25
  • problem structuring25
  • quantitative analysis30
Hint
Reveal suggested structure

Cost-to-serve build-up; fixed vs variable trade; service level as revenue; marginal DC analysis