Northwind Energy: Users Sign Up and Disappear

Product Management
hard45 min0 submissions
Amazon
Scenario

Northwind Energy's renewables product acquires users steadily but struggles to keep them.

Retention curve (all users):

DayRetained
D165%
D721%
D3019%
D906%

What else we know:

  • 41% of new users complete the core action at least once in week one
  • Among users who complete the core action three or more times in week one, D30 retention is 57%
  • 10% of users account for roughly 72% of total usage
  • Exit surveys most commonly say "didn't find it useful" and "forgot about it"

Growth is currently offsetting churn with paid acquisition, at a blended CAC that has risen 49% year on year.

Supporting data

segments

power users pct
10
activation rate pct
41
power user share of usage pct
72
d30 retention for 3x core action pct
57

economics

cac increase yoy pct
49

qualitative

top exit reasons
didn't find it useful,forgot about it

retention curve

d1
65
d7
21
d30
19
d90
6
Your task

Diagnose the retention problem and propose a plan. Provide:

  1. Analysis — what the curve and the segment data tell you.
  2. Risks — of the interventions you propose.
  3. Recommendation — what you would build, and how you would measure success.
Ready to move forward? Up next: Marlow Chemicals: One Quarter, Five DemandsNext question
How you'll be graded

100 points, 60% to pass.

  • root cause25
  • measurement25
  • cohort analysis25
  • solution design25
Hint
Reveal suggested structure
  1. Read the curve's shape. A steep D1→D7 fall is an onboarding or value-discovery problem. A curve that never flattens is a product-market fit problem. These need opposite responses.
  2. Find the habit moment — the behaviour that separates retained from churned users.
  3. Compare segments — the 3×-core-action cohort is the natural experiment already in the data.
  4. Attack the biggest drop-off first.
  5. Instrument the intervention so the effect is measurable.