Basil & Co: Users Sign Up and Disappear

Product Management
hard45 min0 submissions
Bain
Scenario

Basil & Co's quick service restaurants product acquires users steadily but struggles to keep them.

Retention curve (all users):

DayRetained
D155%
D722%
D309%
D906%

What else we know:

  • 42% of new users complete the core action at least once in week one
  • Among users who complete the core action three or more times in week one, D30 retention is 27%
  • 17% of users account for roughly 78% of total usage
  • Exit surveys most commonly say "didn't find it useful" and "forgot about it"

Growth is currently offsetting churn with paid acquisition, at a blended CAC that has risen 42% year on year.

Supporting data

segments

power users pct
17
activation rate pct
42
power user share of usage pct
78
d30 retention for 3x core action pct
27

economics

cac increase yoy pct
42

qualitative

top exit reasons
didn't find it useful,forgot about it

retention curve

d1
55
d7
22
d30
9
d90
6
Your task

Diagnose the retention problem and propose a plan. Provide:

  1. Analysis — what the curve and the segment data tell you.
  2. Risks — of the interventions you propose.
  3. Recommendation — what you would build, and how you would measure success.
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How you'll be graded

100 points, 60% to pass.

  • root cause25
  • measurement25
  • cohort analysis25
  • solution design25
Hint
Reveal suggested structure
  1. Read the curve's shape. A steep D1→D7 fall is an onboarding or value-discovery problem. A curve that never flattens is a product-market fit problem. These need opposite responses.
  2. Find the habit moment — the behaviour that separates retained from churned users.
  3. Compare segments — the 3×-core-action cohort is the natural experiment already in the data.
  4. Attack the biggest drop-off first.
  5. Instrument the intervention so the effect is measurable.