Granite Materials: Users Sign Up and Disappear

Product Management
medium45 min0 submissions
Bain
Scenario

Granite Materials's building materials product acquires users steadily but struggles to keep them.

Retention curve (all users):

DayRetained
D170%
D727%
D3022%
D9010%

What else we know:

  • 35% of new users complete the core action at least once in week one
  • Among users who complete the core action three or more times in week one, D30 retention is 66%
  • 14% of users account for roughly 77% of total usage
  • Exit surveys most commonly say "didn't find it useful" and "forgot about it"

Growth is currently offsetting churn with paid acquisition, at a blended CAC that has risen 27% year on year.

Supporting data

segments

power users pct
14
activation rate pct
35
power user share of usage pct
77
d30 retention for 3x core action pct
66

economics

cac increase yoy pct
27

qualitative

top exit reasons
didn't find it useful,forgot about it

retention curve

d1
70
d7
27
d30
22
d90
10
Your task

Diagnose the retention problem and propose a plan. Provide:

  1. Analysis — what the curve and the segment data tell you.
  2. Risks — of the interventions you propose.
  3. Recommendation — what you would build, and how you would measure success.
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How you'll be graded

100 points, 60% to pass.

  • root cause25
  • measurement25
  • cohort analysis25
  • solution design25
Hint
Reveal suggested structure
  1. Read the curve's shape. A steep D1→D7 fall is an onboarding or value-discovery problem. A curve that never flattens is a product-market fit problem. These need opposite responses.
  2. Find the habit moment — the behaviour that separates retained from churned users.
  3. Compare segments — the 3×-core-action cohort is the natural experiment already in the data.
  4. Attack the biggest drop-off first.
  5. Instrument the intervention so the effect is measurable.