Nimbus Health: How Much Stock Is the Right Amount?

Operations
medium35 min0 submissions
Bain
Scenario

Nimbus Health distributes digital health products across US. One SKU family accounts for a disproportionate share of complaints.

Demand averages 1008 units a week with a standard deviation of 343 units. Replenishment lead time is 9 weeks and has itself been slipping. Each unit costs $2640 to buy and carries at roughly 29% a year once warehousing, insurance and capital are counted. Gross margin is 39%.

The line currently stocks out about 13% of weeks. Sales say every stockout sends a customer to a competitor. Finance say inventory is already too high.

Supporting data

demand

weekly mean units
1008
weekly std dev units
343
coefficient of variation
0.34

supply

lead time weeks
9
lead time reliability
deteriorating

economics

unit cost
2640
gross margin pct
39
annual holding cost pct
29

derived hints

mean demand over lead time units
9072
demand std dev over lead time units
1029

current performance

service level pct
87
Your task

Advise the operations director. Your answer should provide:

  1. Analysis — the reorder point and safety stock implied by the demand and lead time, and what each service level costs.
  2. Risks — where the assumptions break, especially lead time variability.
  3. Recommendation — a target service level and stock policy, with the cash impact.

State any assumptions you make.

Ready to move forward? Up next: Vantage Analytics: How Much Stock Is the Right Amount?Next question
How you'll be graded

80 points, 60% to pass.

  • recommendation20
  • market analysis15
  • risk assessment20
  • financial analysis25
Hint
Reveal suggested structure

Reorder point = mean demand over lead time + z x std dev over lead time. Trade the holding cost of safety stock against lost margin on stockouts.