Otter Payments: How Much Stock Is the Right Amount?

Operations
hard35 min0 submissions
Bain
Scenario

Otter Payments distributes fintech products across Southeast Asia. One SKU family accounts for a disproportionate share of complaints.

Demand averages 410 units a week with a standard deviation of 168 units. Replenishment lead time is 2 weeks and has itself been slipping. Each unit costs $1767 to buy and carries at roughly 18% a year once warehousing, insurance and capital are counted. Gross margin is 40%.

The line currently stocks out about 11% of weeks. Sales say every stockout sends a customer to a competitor. Finance say inventory is already too high.

Supporting data

demand

weekly mean units
410
weekly std dev units
168
coefficient of variation
0.41

supply

lead time weeks
2
lead time reliability
deteriorating

economics

unit cost
1767
gross margin pct
40
annual holding cost pct
18

derived hints

mean demand over lead time units
820
demand std dev over lead time units
238

current performance

service level pct
89
Your task

Advise the operations director. Your answer should provide:

  1. Analysis — the reorder point and safety stock implied by the demand and lead time, and what each service level costs.
  2. Risks — where the assumptions break, especially lead time variability.
  3. Recommendation — a target service level and stock policy, with the cash impact.

State any assumptions you make.

Ready to move forward? Up next: Vantage Analytics: How Much Stock Is the Right Amount?Next question
How you'll be graded

80 points, 60% to pass.

  • recommendation20
  • market analysis15
  • risk assessment20
  • financial analysis25
Hint
Reveal suggested structure

Reorder point = mean demand over lead time + z x std dev over lead time. Trade the holding cost of safety stock against lost margin on stockouts.