Pinecrest Grocers: What Should This Project Have to Beat?

Finance
medium45 min0 submissions
McKinsey
Scenario

Pinecrest Grocers is a grocery business in US. The board is being asked to approve a $173 M capacity expansion that the sponsoring team says will return 13.1%.

The CFO has been using a flat 12% hurdle rate for every proposal for the last four years. A new board member has challenged that, pointing out the capital structure has shifted and rates have moved since it was set.

Current position: the company is funded 28% debt and 72% equity. It borrows at 9.5% pre-tax and pays a 22% effective tax rate. The equity beta is 1.08, the risk-free rate is 6.3%, and the equity risk premium in this market is taken as 6%.

The project has roughly the same operating risk as the existing business.

Supporting data

proposal

size m
173
claimed return pct
13.1
legacy hurdle rate pct
12

cost inputs

equity beta
1.08
risk free rate pct
6.3
effective tax rate pct
22
equity risk premium pct
6
pre tax cost of debt pct
9.5

derived hints

wacc pct
11.28
cost of equity pct
12.78
after tax cost of debt pct
7.41

capital structure

debt pct
28
equity pct
72
Your task

Advise the board. Your answer should provide:

  1. Analysis — compute the cost of equity, the after-tax cost of debt, and the blended WACC. Show the arithmetic.
  2. Risks — what the single-hurdle-rate approach gets wrong, and what would move your number.
  3. Recommendation — the hurdle rate you would set and whether this project clears it.

State any assumptions you make.

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How you'll be graded

80 points, 60% to pass.

  • recommendation20
  • market analysis15
  • risk assessment20
  • financial analysis25
Hint
Reveal suggested structure

CAPM for cost of equity, after-tax cost of debt, weight by capital structure, compare project return to WACC, then sensitise.