How many paying gym members are there in a Tier 2 Indian city?

Consulting
easy15 min0 submissions
Scenario

A fitness chain is choosing between expansion cities. Take a representative Tier 2 city of about 20 lakh people.

Your task

Estimate the number of people paying for a gym membership in that city. Break the population down before computing, and say what would most change your answer.

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How you'll be graded

100 points, 60% to pass.

  • structure30
  • arithmetic20
  • assumptions30
  • sanity check20
Hint
Reveal suggested structure

Filter the population down: working-age share, urban middle-income share, then penetration of paid fitness. Penetration is the assumption carrying all the weight and is far lower in Tier 2 than intuition suggests. A good answer distinguishes paying members from people who exercise, and flags that informal gyms may not be captured in the client's definition.